the numbers for “short AGI timelines” are suspiciously close to the maximum a...
View original threadthe numbers for “short AGI timelines” are suspiciously close to the maximum amount of time a VC is willing to wait for a liquidity event. just saying
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the fact that 10 years is considered long is absolutely nuts
the only way that looks long is if you’re trying to fool a VC and you’re desperately trying to reach for anything that helps
also explains why people get so upset over it. like it’s actually existential for shorties
the only way that looks long is if you’re trying to fool a VC and you’re desperately trying to reach for anything that helps
also explains why people get so upset over it. like it’s actually existential for shorties
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Dwarkesh’s long time lines are because he thinks we need continual learning
imo we’ll get that fast, but after we solve all the current problems, there’s going to be a new set of insurmountable problems (that again will be solved, and then there’s a new set..)
imo we’ll get that fast, but after we solve all the current problems, there’s going to be a new set of insurmountable problems (that again will be solved, and then there’s a new set..)
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